The sinking ship…..
I'm going to share my betting tactics for 'Asian handicap' football markets. I've read a lot of e-books and various materials on the internet on the subject and the 'heavy boat' theory seems to be the best so far.

How to find the matches that are worth to place a bet on?First it is worth to choose some matches which make your intuition arise after analysis.  Before checking the handicaps on the betting sites it is worth to estimate e.g. with how many goals will Manchester United win against Blackpool after reading the news about the team, stats and other facts. If your estimated result would beat the handicap then it is worth to follow the handicap change of the particular match and to place a bet on it later.

When is the ship sinking?It's worth to make screenshots of the handicap tables of the leagues you're familiar with at the beginning of every week. You will see this way which handicaps changed during the week (which bets are popular that week).
For exaple if the handicap of MU was altered from -1.5 to -1.75 since the beginning of the week it wouldn't mean it's worth to place a bet on it, but if it would have changed from -1.5 to -2.0 (2 steps) it would mean the ship is very heavy and it's going to sink, so it would make it worth to bet on that match on the underdog.

How to gain advantage against the bookies?There are a couple of sites that allow to choose alternative 'Asian handicap' as well. This option is worth to choose if you want to win a ¼ handicap because of wanting to place a safer bet. You can choose alternative handicap as well for example on bet365.com.
Other things worth to recognize?
For example if it's a cup game where B-teams of big names are playing there can be a surprise. It's good to check the news who are expected in the first team. If a big name gets only -0.75 or -1 handicap playing home against a small team then a big surprise is expected and it's worth to bet on the small team.
Analyzes are available at my Facebook page „Skyfootballtips” where I reached 70% win ratio over the long years (average multiplier 1.85x).
BookieSamurai
All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any damage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

I've been working for the company for more than one year when I started in depth analysis of matches and searching for safe tips. We were discussing this topic many times with my colleagues, everybody was likely to share one's opinion about the best strategy but also everyone agreed in one thing. Doesn't matter what a perfect strategy you know, without sufficient self-control and discipline there is no chance to make profit in the long run.

 
All my colleagues were familiar in different sports but I've seen perspective only in football, especially after I got introduced to the market of 'Asian handicap' betting.

Why is the 'Asian handicap' similar to a samurai sword?

• Asian Handicap betting reduces the possible number of outcomes from three 1-2-X to two (chance of win increased from 33% to 50% ) by eliminating the draw outcome and introducing stake refund.
• The multipliers are usually varying from 1.75x to 2.1x, lots of 1.2x means better value than an evident outcome.
• You can minimize your loss while placing a bet on a risky match
• Using alternative handicap is also possible for a lower multiplier (e.g. 1.5x reducing risk) what still pays decently.

Therefore most of the highly profit oriented sites do not use this betting system, only simple 'handicap' betting is available, because it does not make any advantage for the bettor. Sites such as BetClic, Sportingbet, Bwin are not present on the market of Asian handicap betting because the profit rate is only 2-3% compared to the usual 7-8%.
Click here to find th best asian handicap odds and make an extra 10% on your winnings!

 
In summary, if you are using 'Asian handicap' smart it can help you win large sums. In the next post I will describe the 'sinking ship' Asian handicap strategy.

 
BookieSamurai

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

As the months went by I got increasingly involved in the marshy world of sports betting and asked myself - what am I doing here? However the moral dilemma disappeard fast, I convinced myself it is just another business.

 
It is worth to know that only 2-3% of the players can win in the long run. All the others LOOSE! I saw the so-called 'Whale' who lost a lot of money month after month  -I mean more hundred thousands of punds-  we just assisted with a grin. However, when he had a winning series the 'odds makers' (who calculate the odds and monitor inplay betting) immediately reduced his maximum bet to £ 100.

 
This situation almost made me throw up. The wretched bettor had lost more than £ 1 million before and when won £ 120 000 we wanted to kick him out. No matter how I sorry I felt for the client, I could only say "I'm sorry I cannot do anything, it was a central decision." Then I realized that this is just another business and a good business, customers who loose all the time means good business but those who win too fast and too much are not welcome.

 
Beside the 'arbsters' there are also the so-called 'smart players' who do not cheat, they are simply pro. They make detailed analyzes about the matches and calculate the probability of different outcomes with algorythms. They are the ones who make profit in the long run. Needless to say that these players can get the maximum bid limit of £ 100 quickly, but by that time usually tens of thousands of pounds is taken home already.

 
In summary those ones who loose are being loved by the sports betting companies but who wins fast or has good series is made to leave the game. These companies advertise themselves with adrenaline and excitement, basically WHAT YOU NEED. Of course none of them claims you shouldn't dare to win, otherwise you're getting kicked out! This is only pure business where the company has the right to get rid of anyone, even if the customer lost millions previously.

 
BookieSamurai


All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

If you've managed to develop a perfect betting strategy or found an agency or individual who provides professional tips then the next step is to prevent a maximum bid restriction of £ 100 being applied to your account too early.

The most simple way is to open 5-10 accounts at different betting offices offering the best odds and placing maximally £ 100 bets at all sites. You can fly under the radar this way and protect your profit for a long time.

Having 5-10 accounts makes also available to place a higher bet always at the office offering the best odds. As I mentioned in a previous post, it is crucial to place bets at those offices which offer the best odds. 20% more money makes a difference in the long run.

Trust me I'm not bullshitting, before my colleagues warned me I won a six-figure sum less because of not taking care of which offices I was playing at. I've seen the reduction of maximum bids at hundreds of accounts just because placing thousands of pounds bids without taking enough care.

If you place £ 100 bets at 10 offices no one will notice you are a 'sharp bettor'. So we've discussed an important part of the finances but the most important is just coming. As I mentioned before sports betting offices count on your greed and the lack of your self-control. So what is the point then?

How to play?

• The maximum bid you should place on one match shall be not more than 5-10% of your money (because 100% sure doesn't exist)
• Find good bets with and odds between 1.5x and 2.2x
• Don't bet on the matches with odds 1.1x or 1.2x because in the long run it doesn't work
• Make some analyzes before the matches and bet on those ones only which seem to be the safest
• Don't place too small bids. Instead of placing a bid of £ 10 ten times, place £ 50 two times
• Don't loose your head after having bad series

How NOT to play?

• Never play drunk
• Never play angry
• Never do the opposite of mentioned above

BookieSamurai

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

 

If you bet on the wrong website you earn 20% less!

For a long time I didn't give a shit which online bookmaker site I was playing at. So I stuck for a long time at the site I registered for the first. I was not thinking about opening accounts at other betting sites until I got a job at a bookmaker company in England.

For the first time I had to realize my betting tactics had not been too sophisticated before, when I was chatting with my colleagues  about who was playing at which betting sites. When I said I was playing at company X all they guys were shocked and shouted in unison - Are you crazy? I replied - Why?  What's wrong with that company? The reply was like - Ah oh.. nothing just company X gives the lowest odds (especially at INPLAY bettings) so in the last years you won 20% less on your successful bettings. In other words you lost 20% on your winning bets.

They told me just to check out www.oddschecker.com immediately and check the odds. Of course they were right, so I stopped wasting time and immediately opened a new account at a site where the odds were much higher. This site was also more logical and easier to navigate offering more INPLAY games as well. The number of live matches available on a sports betting site is at least as important as the odds.

I do not regret what happened because I calculated how much I lost, just because I played at the wrong place. It was a six-figure sum. The point is that better late than never so look only for the best places to play at. Another good exaple for this are the commercial banks.

Which would you choose, the one paying 10% or the one paying 30% interest on your money?
Click here to find the best odds and win 10% more!
BookieSamurai


All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

 

Now it's Your turn to be an 'Arbitrage' bettor!
For more than 10 years 'Arbitrage' betting is popular tactics in the world of online sports betting. It means, that at two or more online bookmakers the odds of a given bet with opposite outcomes is so high, that if you place a bet on both outcomes at two different offices then you can make up to 10-15% profit.


Sounds simple right?
The thing is not too complicated but to become a pro 'Arbitrage' bettor you should be familiar with a few tricks and golden rule. This sports betting system works in case of there are only two possible outcomes, for example tennis. Here is an example: Odds for Nadal at BetClic is 2.05x and for Federer at Bwin is also 2.05x, so if you place a bet of £ 1000 at both betting offices you will make a profit of £ 50 because of the overlapping odds.


So why don't everybody do this?
It is impossible to take advantage of these opportunities because they exist for 5-10 minutes maximum. You can subscribe to sms messaging services but these are too late many times when the "arb" is alredy gone or too low. In addition you need starting capital, experience, knowledge, routine and of course accuracy. Of course not all sports betting companies like these players, cancellation of bets can happen also (not common, but happens if playing with big money).


How much capital to start and what profit should be expected?
Since your money should be placed at multiple bookies, therefore at least £ 500 is recommended for getting started. Of course it is possible to play with less but then you can win only small sums. A goal which I think can be easily achieved without any difficulties is a monthly 10-15% profit. Not too bad for a month if you consider that in banks you can currently get 7-8% in one year.


What is the reaction of online bookmaker offices to this?
It depends on if you win or loose at the particular betting office. If you have to many winning bets at the same place they might reduce your maximal bet for certain cases making not worth to place bets there anymore. Nevermind, there are a lot of online bookies. By the way this is an absolutely legal betting system so don't be afraid of any legal issues.


How much time do I need to do this?
It depends if you want to live of it or you do it for some pocket money. If you are serious about this, watching the events and the software for 8-10 hours a day is recommended.


Is there any risk involved?
I'm sure everybody wants to hear there is not. Unfortunately it must disappoint you, I've seen a lot of things and I have to say that in the world of sports betting even fixed matches are only 99.999% sure. If you put too high stakes they might get cancelled, in this case you must insure your bet at an other betting office even if it would cause you some loss. Dont worry about it, you will win back all later or even on the same day!


How to reduce the risk?

• Place a bet on an "arb" with a maximal profit of 15%. "Arb"-s higher than 20% are many times just a result of a mistake the office made and the bets are getting cancelled.
• If you win you do not take your money out, it can catch their attention.
• Do not bet more than £ 500 on one match, it can also catch attention.

Getting started in arbitrage betting

• Minimum start-up capital £ 250 but much better if £ 500
• Register and open an accounts at the betting offices
• Open a Moneybookers (virtual purse) account for money transfers
• Do "paper trading" - practice on paper before placing a bet
• Finding the optimal softwares

FREE software! - http://RebelBetting.com/?x=101x

At the bottom of the page click on the blue "Try now" and it will start downloading the free software.
BookieSamurai

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

The fight between tricky players and the customer service

I had been eight months working in the customer service when I was sitting at the 22nd floor in a tower block, outside it was pouring with rain, I was sipping my coffee and pondering upon what happened so far.

First I was appalled upon the fact that I have not recognized that I am apart from my family for eight months because I got totally cought up in a new world, the mysterious world of sports betting. Every day I met more than weird, tricky situations which I had to manage perfectly every time.  

The fight with the players already started on my first day. After I attended a company training course I got immediately thrown in the deep, arguing players were rushing me till the end of the day. By the end of the day I was so freaked out I had to go to the toilet several times to throw up. I was not used to hear my mother being cursed every ten minutes before. I was neither allowed to send them to the hell.

So it went on day after day, without throwing up of course. I got trained enough to manage the cruel style of the players and I learned to handle them. One day a furious player called that the maximum bet for him is £ 100 limited by our company. I have not met similar situation before and neither knew why this was possible to happen.

Quickly I turned to Jack - the guy sitting next to me - and asked what could be the reason for this. He just waved his hand and said, - Ahhh, this is just another "Arb bettor". - Jack asked me to turn the call over to him and listen to what they say. Jack - I'm sorry sir, but we can not do anything because the £ 100 central limit has been approved for your account.... The customer got more furious and hung up the phone ..... he never called us and closed his account.

In the lunch break Jack explained that the client is an "Arb bettor" who is using a software to take advantage of the overlap of various sports betting sites' odds ratios and makes  10-15%   profit on every bet. I replied - This player lost £ 3500 total at our company already. - Jack waved his hand and said YES... we were lucky so far, but these players mean high risk to the company. Imagine sometimes they loose here and win elsewhere, but the next time he wins big money here and we get kicked in the ass ....

In addition, we met every day "bonus hunters" who opened  20-30 accounts within 1 day using various fake personal information and wanted only to take out the registration bonus.  Such players at the very beginning could cause up to £ 2-3000 loss to the company but since IP address monitoring has been introduced  this trick got way more difficult to be performed.  Since then this is a trick only for the small fish, the big fish are rather doing "Arb betting".

BookieSamurai

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

From illegal street bookies to online bookmaker offices

Probably not many of you were thinking before about the evolution of sports betting business. How the industry proceeded from bookmakers working in the streets keeping the books made of paper to the current automatized online betting systems. First of all the English word "bookmaker" is derived from that in the UK and later in the US the bookies registered the stakes in books.

This activity was illegal for a long time, but England realized that it would be better to legalize as soon as possible and gain tax incomes from it. Several decades before so called "high street bookmaker" shops appeared in England where everyone could bet within legal circumstances.

However in the United States the situation was completely different. Las Vegas, Atlantic City and a few other privileged cities were entitled to let legal betting organizations operate, so who wanted to bet, had to travel to one of these cities. Many had a passion for betting but at the same time it would have been impossible to go to Vegas every week, so the first illegal street bookmaker offices appeared. Since the risk was quite high because of the FBI raids, the smarts moved to Panama or Costa Rica and for the first time they started organizing bettings on phone which were booked in computers then. All of these off-shore companies made huge profits due to tax avoidance, so the FBI started persecution of these companies soon.

The next revolutionary step was the introduction of automated online betting systems which appeared at the end of the 1990s. Most street bookmaker companies in England also realized the business potential of the online betting "goldmine" so till the early 2000s dozens of companies made their services available online. The progress went further on, so today there are more than 100 online bookies but at most 20-25 really trustworthy companies.
The global online gambling market makes billion dollar profits annually. It has grown one of the most profitable automatized industries by now.
IMPORTANT - Those who are interested in 'syndicate' football tips, add me on facebook under "Sky Footballtips" .
BookieSamurai

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!

 

Having spent 8 years total working for the 3 largest online bookmaker companies in the UK,
I had the opportunity to experience step by step the mysterious world of sports betting. I had
always loves sports, and of course I soon developed a liking for betting as well, which gives me a
great adrenaline rush during matches.

I was 23 years old when I finished my university studies, and unlike most of my classmates, I
decided to try my luck abroad. Searching through foreign job sites, I came across a page that was
specifically offering positions at sports betting companies. Unfortunately, most companies were
looking for candidates with prior experience in sports betting, so in the end I made do with a
position in customer services.

And so began my 8 year tour into the world of sports betting. At that point I had no clue what
an important life-altering factor this little adventure would become. The great journey came to a
conclusion in May, and I decided to record my memories in the form of a blog.

Many of you are now probably asking: why did I give it up? You’ll find out soon enough!
Believe me, it’s worth the wait for the final twist, so there’s no reason why you shouldn’t follow
each blog post for the next 6-8 weeks.

Meanwhile, here’s a little sneak-peek of what to expect in the ex-bookie’s journal:

8 years’ worth of action through the eyes of a bookie;

Industry secrets that bettors haven’t a clue of;

• How do companies sniff out matches that may have been fixed and what do they do when
• they find one?
• How and where can you sniff out matches that may have been fixed?
• How do cheaters deceive sports betting companies and how can they protect themselves?
• How do bookies make their own profit off fixed matches and syndicate tips?
• The alliance between bookies and “Whales” – everyone stays happy;
• There is no such thing as a sure tip; but, “Asian handicaps” greatly increase your chances
• akeof winning;
• A crack in the armor? “Arbets” – 10% net profit / month;
• The golden rules of sports betting – heed them, or go broke!
• Major losses in sports betting – lack of self-control leads to bankruptcy;
• How I came into contact with a secret Asian betting syndicate;
• How you can join this secret organization with my help;

…and so much MORE!

IMPORTANT – if you are interested in my blog posts and syndicate football tips, the simply
send me a Friend Request on facebook to "Sky Footballtips."

BookieSamurai

P.S.: if you too, have developed a taste for a position in sports betting, then you can browse
through the pages below. http://www.bettingjobs.com/ http://betline.org/

All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any demage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!