The sinking ship…..
I'm going to share my betting tactics for 'Asian handicap' football markets. I've read a lot of e-books and various materials on the internet on the subject and the 'heavy boat' theory seems to be the best so far.
How to find the matches that are worth to place a bet on?First it is worth to choose some matches which make your intuition arise after analysis. Before checking the handicaps on the betting sites it is worth to estimate e.g. with how many goals will Manchester United win against Blackpool after reading the news about the team, stats and other facts. If your estimated result would beat the handicap then it is worth to follow the handicap change of the particular match and to place a bet on it later.
When is the ship sinking?It's worth to make screenshots of the handicap tables of the leagues you're familiar with at the beginning of every week. You will see this way which handicaps changed during the week (which bets are popular that week).
For exaple if the handicap of MU was altered from -1.5 to -1.75 since the beginning of the week it wouldn't mean it's worth to place a bet on it, but if it would have changed from -1.5 to -2.0 (2 steps) it would mean the ship is very heavy and it's going to sink, so it would make it worth to bet on that match on the underdog.
How to gain advantage against the bookies?There are a couple of sites that allow to choose alternative 'Asian handicap' as well. This option is worth to choose if you want to win a ¼ handicap because of wanting to place a safer bet. You can choose alternative handicap as well for example on bet365.com.
Other things worth to recognize?
For example if it's a cup game where B-teams of big names are playing there can be a surprise. It's good to check the news who are expected in the first team. If a big name gets only -0.75 or -1 handicap playing home against a small team then a big surprise is expected and it's worth to bet on the small team.
Analyzes are available at my Facebook page „Skyfootballtips” where I reached 70% win ratio over the long years (average multiplier 1.85x).
BookieSamurai
All informations in this blog derives from various interviews and betting materials. The author of this blog takes no
responsibility for any damage or loss of any reader. Bet within your limits!
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